← Grand Library League S3 Finals

Wind AlliesTier 2

at Grand Library League S3 Finals

decks
7 (7.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
49 23-24-2
overall winrate
49.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
48.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1316 · median 1369 · range 1028–1536 (7 pilots with an ELO rating)
807 Q1 1217 Q3 1450 1694
29% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 43% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 12.2% 13 9-3-1 73.1% 67.6% 52.3% +0.9
Wind Shadowstrike 12.2% 9 2-7-0 22.2% 30.8% 46.3% -1.7
Water Fractal 8.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 50.0% +0.0
Water Genbu 8.9% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 51.3% +1.0
Wind Astra Cleric 7.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 48.9% -0.7
Fire Crux Hybrid 4.4% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 46.6% -2.5
Fire Slimes 4.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 53.6% +3.5
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Wind Seiryuu 4.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.5
Wind Neos 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 48.7% -1.2
Fire Suzaku 2.2% 0
Wind Byakko 2.2% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Arcane 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.1% 0
Fire Neos 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.3% -2.7
Norm Tera Silvie 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Crux Lorraine 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.2% -2.9
Water Polkhawk 1.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 1.1% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Crux Mage 1.1% 0
Wind Overlord 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Directive +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Directive -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Slimeshield -1.00 0 1 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Cutter +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help -1.00 0 1 0
Kongming, Wayward Maven -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep +1.00 1 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Lorraine, Blademaster +1.00 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker -1.00 0 1 0
Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior +1.00 1 0 0
Mercurial Heart -1.00 0 1 0
Counter Interference +1.00 1 0 0
Portentous Tanggu -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Cell Assembler -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Mystic Purifier -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +1.00 1 0 0
Manufacture Cell -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Ornamental Greatsword +1.00 1 0 0
Overlord Mk III -1.00 0 1 0
Brackish Lutist +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/23650/archetypes/Wind Allies